UD Logroñésvs
Deportivo La Coruña II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UD Logroñés · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UD Logroñés 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II
Original prediction
UD Logroñés
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.5% | 46.8% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 28.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.9% | 25.1% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
UD Logroñés
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
UD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00