UD Logroñésvs
Cultural Leonesa
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UD Logroñés · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UD Logroñés 1-1 Cultural Leonesa
Original prediction
UD Logroñés
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.4% | 47.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.6% | 26.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
UD Logroñés
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
UD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20