Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCV · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCV are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zamora FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCV hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Primera División, while UCV holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCV
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
UCV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20