GGOALVIO

UCV logoUCVvsRayo Zuliano logoRayo Zuliano

COMPLETED

Venezuela · Primera División · 8/31/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

UCV 4-1 Rayo Zuliano

Original prediction

UCV

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.5%62.1%2.6 pts
Draw3.9522.9%21.0%-1.9 pts
Away5.1417.6%16.9%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

UCV

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

UCV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCVLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rayo ZulianoWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
UCVRayo Zuliano
48.6Attack33.3
50.0Defence40.7
44.4Form31.5
48.9Power37.0
1.91xG0.88
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