UCVvs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCV 0-0 Puerto Cabello
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 27.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.1% | 39.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40