UCVvs
Portuguesa FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCV · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCV 0-0 Portuguesa FC
Original prediction
UCV
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.0% | 36.9% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 27.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 35.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
UCV
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
UCV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCVLDWWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Portuguesa FCDLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UCVPortuguesa FC
48.4Attack44.8
53.8Defence65.6
47.3Form51.0
50.9Power55.3
1.05xG1.15