UCVvs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 3/14/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCV · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCV are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and UCV hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Primera División, while UCV holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCV
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
UCV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40