UCVvs
Club Atletico Barinas
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Atletico Barinas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCV 5-3 Club Atletico Barinas
Original prediction
Club Atletico Barinas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 57.9% | 36.1% | -21.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 27.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.2% | 36.9% | 18.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Club Atletico Barinas
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Club Atletico Barinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60