UCVvs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCV 1-1 Carabobo FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.4% | 28.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.3% | 27.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.3% | 43.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80