GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.1% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

19.1%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UniversitarioDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
30.2Attack46.0
55.6Defence68.3
33.3Form57.1
41.8Power58.7
0.58xG1.18
View match centre →