UCV Moqueguavs
ADT
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UCV Moquegua are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ADT are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ADT hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20