Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCSA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zvyahel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 77.5 against 76.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40