UCSAvs
Trostianets
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 5/19/2024, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
UCSA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00