GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/7/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

UCSA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Skala 1911 Stryi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

74.4%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCSAWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Skala 1911 StryiWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCSASkala 1911 Stryi
79.5Attack44.4
83.3Defence55.6
76.9Form48.6
77.5Power51.1
2.47xG0.62
View match centre →