GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/21/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

UCSA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rukh Vynnyky II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.2% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

77.2%

Model confidence

77.2%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCSAWLWDD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rukh Vynnyky IILDDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCSARukh Vynnyky II
79.5Attack40.0
83.3Defence54.7
76.9Form44.0
77.5Power46.8
2.55xG0.55
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