UCSAvs
Real Pharm
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 9/2/2023, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
UCSA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Pharm are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.2% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
92.2%
Model confidence
92.2%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.75/1.00