UCSAvs
Nyva Vinnytsya
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 10/15/2023, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
UCSA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40