UCSAvs
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 3/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
UCSA are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.4% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
91.4%
Model confidence
91.4%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40