UCSAvs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 11/3/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
UCSA are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.6% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
82.6%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40