UCSAvs
Karpaty II
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 11/24/2023, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
UCSA are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Karpaty II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40