Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inhulets · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCSA 1-2 Inhulets
Original prediction
Inhulets
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.3% | 31.7% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 27.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 41.0% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Inhulets
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Inhulets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCSALDWDL
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
InhuletsLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UCSAInhulets
100.0Attack71.4
83.3Defence79.8
100.0Form79.8
93.8Power76.1
0.86xG1.53