Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCSA are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Druzhba are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 77.5 against 76.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60