Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCSA are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chayka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60