UCDvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 2/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
UCD are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Treaty United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60