UCDvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCD are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Longford Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40