UCDvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: UCD 2-0 Finn Harps, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
UCD 5-4 Finn Harps
Original prediction
UCD
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.4% | 80.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.6% | 13.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 9.01 | 10.1% | 6.6% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
UCD 2–0 Finn Harps
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCDDLWLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Finn HarpsLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UCDFinn Harps
56.0Attack26.2
60.7Defence33.3
52.4Form26.2
55.8Power31.7
2.57xG0.53