UCDvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 4/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
UCD are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
15.5%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00