UCDvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/6/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
UCD are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Derry City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (17.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.75/2.25
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60