First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:33
UCD

UCD

Home
W
52
Full time
Cork City

Cork City

Away
L
UCD Bowl
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Cork City(36%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
UCD
35%
Draw
29%
Cork City
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
UCD
73
Cork City
34
Defence
UCD
66
Cork City
0
Momentum
UCD
100
Cork City
0
Danger (xG)
UCD
1.80
Cork City
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (UCD)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Cork City)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (UCD)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cork City)
5.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UCDUCD
WLLWL
Cork CityCork City
LLWWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
UCD35%
Draw29%
Cork City36%

Cork City leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

UCD head into this in First Division fixture at UCD Bowl in mixed form (W), while Cork City arrive in mixed form (L). UCD have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Cork City over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. UCD's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Cork City defence (0/100), while Cork City's attack is up against a solid UCD backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in UCD's favour.

UCD have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Cork City have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between UCD and Cork City in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Cork City to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: UCD 3489%, Draw 2911%, Cork City 3600%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

UCD

UCD

W
@ Treaty United
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Bray Wanderers
10 Jul 2026
06
L
@ Longford Town
4 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Cobh Ramblers
26 Jun 2026
20
L
vs Bray Wanderers
15 May 2026
34
Cork City

Cork City

L
@ Shamrock Rovers
17 Jul 2026
14
L
vs Cardiff
14 Jul 2026
16
W
@ Cobh Ramblers
3 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Bray Wanderers
26 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Longford Town
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win UCD vs Cork City?

GoalVio's model predicts Cork City to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for UCD vs Cork City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in UCD vs Cork City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in UCD vs Cork City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more