Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCD are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cork City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60