UCDvs
Bray Wanderers
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCD 1-3 Bray Wanderers
Original prediction
UCD
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.1% | 39.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 22.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.2% | 37.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCDLDDWD
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Bray WanderersWWDLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UCDBray Wanderers
58.3Attack63.5
53.1Defence54.2
51.0Form52.1
54.0Power56.1
1.71xG1.64