UCDvs
Athlone Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
UCD 2-2 Athlone Town
Original prediction
UCD
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 53.3% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 25.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 21.7% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCDDWDLW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Athlone TownWWWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCDAthlone Town
58.9Attack34.4
57.8Defence62.2
53.3Form44.4
56.3Power49.2
1.46xG0.78