UCDvs
Athlone Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
UCD are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Athlone Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
15.8%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00