Ucam Murciavs
Intercity
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ucam Murcia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ucam Murcia 1-2 Intercity
Original prediction
Ucam Murcia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 28.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.0% | 30.4% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ucam Murcia
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Ucam Murcia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00