Ucam Murciavs
El Palo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/10/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ucam Murcia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while El Palo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ucam Murcia hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60