GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 5/10/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Uberlandia are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Itabirito are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Itabirito hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UberlandiaDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
ItabiritoLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
UberlandiaItabirito
49.2Attack50.8
69.8Defence71.4
55.6Form66.7
59.0Power64.2
0.89xG0.86
View match centre →