Mineiro - 2Mineiro - 2
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Uberaba

Uberaba

Home
W
21
Full time
Guarani MG

Guarani MG

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Uberaba(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Uberaba
Win probability
Uberaba
52%
Draw
26%
Guarani MG
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Uberaba
73
Guarani MG
34
Defence
Uberaba
66
Guarani MG
27
Momentum
Uberaba
100
Guarani MG
0
Danger (xG)
Uberaba
1.80
Guarani MG
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Uberaba)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Guarani MG)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Uberaba)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Guarani MG)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UberabaUberaba
W
Guarani MGGuarani MG
L

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Uberaba52%
Draw26%
Guarani MG22%

Uberaba leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Uberaba head into this in Mineiro - 2 fixture in mixed form (W), while Guarani MG arrive in mixed form (L). Uberaba have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Guarani MG over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Uberaba's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Guarani MG defence (27/100), while Guarani MG's attack is up against a solid Uberaba backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Uberaba's favour.

Uberaba have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Guarani MG have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Uberaba have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Uberaba to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Uberaba 5230%, Draw 2590%, Guarani MG 2180%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Uberaba 1Draws 00 Guarani MG
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
23 Jun 2026
Uberaba
W21
Guarani MG

Recent form

Uberaba

Uberaba

W
vs Guarani MG
23 Jun 2026
21
Guarani MG

Guarani MG

L
@ Uberaba
23 Jun 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Uberaba vs Guarani MG?

GoalVio's model predicts Uberaba to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Uberaba vs Guarani MG?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Uberaba vs Guarani MG?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Uberaba vs Guarani MG?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more