UAI Urquizavs
Villa San Carlos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UAI Urquiza 0-0 Villa San Carlos, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
UAI Urquiza 2-0 Villa San Carlos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.8% | 36.3% | -24.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 35.8% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 6.32 | 14.4% | 27.9% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Projected Score
UAI Urquiza 0–0 Villa San Carlos
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UAI UrquizaDWWDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Villa San CarlosWLWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
UAI UrquizaVilla San Carlos
19.2Attack33.3
70.0Defence64.2
32.5Form41.7
42.9Power47.9
0.51xG0.56