UAI Urquizavs
Real Pilar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UAI Urquiza 0-0 Real Pilar, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
UAI Urquiza 1-0 Real Pilar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.1% | 24.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.3% | 37.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.6% | 38.1% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
UAI Urquiza 0–0 Real Pilar
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UAI UrquizaWDLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarWLWWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UAI UrquizaReal Pilar
18.4Attack36.8
69.3Defence66.7
30.7Form53.5
41.8Power54.8
0.46xG0.65