UAI Urquizavs
Ituzaingó
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UAI Urquiza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UAI Urquiza 0-0 Ituzaingó, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
UAI Urquiza 3-2 Ituzaingó
Original prediction
UAI Urquiza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.4% | 48.8% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 34.0% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 5.81 | 15.4% | 17.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Projected Score
UAI Urquiza 0–0 Ituzaingó
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
UAI Urquiza
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
UAI Urquiza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00