UAI Urquizavs
Argentino de Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UAI Urquiza 0-0 Argentino de Merlo, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
UAI Urquiza 2-0 Argentino de Merlo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.4% | 30.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.3% | 37.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.3% | 32.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
UAI Urquiza 0–0 Argentino de Merlo
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UAI UrquizaLLDLD
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Argentino de MerloDLDDW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UAI UrquizaArgentino de Merlo
15.2Attack30.3
70.7Defence67.7
28.3Form41.4
40.4Power48.3
0.45xG0.51