GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/23/2023, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

U. San Martin are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. San MartinL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Alianza UniversidadW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
U. San MartinAlianza Universidad
43.3Attack39.4
56.7Defence66.7
36.7Form45.5
46.0Power52.5
0.91xG0.95
View match centre →