U. San Martinvs
Academia Cantolao
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. San Martin · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U. San Martin 2-2 Academia Cantolao
Original prediction
U. San Martin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.0% | 52.3% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 22.8% | 26.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 6.24 | 14.3% | 21.7% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
U. San Martin
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
U. San Martin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00