GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 8/30/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. de Deportes W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

U. de Deportes W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Lima W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and U. de Deportes W hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Liga Women, while U. de Deportes W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. de Deportes W

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

10.1%

U. de Deportes W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. de Deportes WWDWWD

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza Lima WWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
U. de Deportes WAlianza Lima W
100.0Attack94.1
82.4Defence78.4
82.4Form74.5
79.5Power76.4
1.94xG1.61
View match centre →