GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 6/14/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

U. Catolica are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

78.3%

Model confidence

78.3%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ConcepcionDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
74.1Attack24.1
51.9Defence44.4
55.6Form35.2
59.7Power37.7
2.81xG0.66
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