U. Catolicavs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 4/21/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
U. Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Union La Calera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00