U. Catolicavs
Palestino
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20