GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PalestinoLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
U. CatolicaPalestino
66.7Attack14.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form28.6
23.7Power39.6
1.04xG0.83
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