U. Catolicavs
O'Higgins
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/1/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
U. Catolica 3-2 O'Higgins
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.6% | 65.7% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.9% | 18.5% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.5% | 15.8% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60