GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

U. Catolica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

11.1%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton de VinaWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
74.1Attack44.4
51.9Defence59.3
55.6Form42.6
59.7Power49.8
2.00xG1.14
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