GGOALVIO

U. Catolica logoU. CatolicavsEstudiantes L.P. logoEstudiantes L.P.

SCHEDULED

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 8/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

22.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Estudiantes L.P.LLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
U. CatolicaEstudiantes L.P.
44.4Attack46.7
77.8Defence76.7
72.2Form63.3
67.6Power63.5
0.71xG0.82
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